2012-2013 Team Projections
Team projections are built on the lineups you see below. If you see a player listed who shouldn't be there, or if there's a player missing who should be included, please let me know.
TAPE Ratings show how a team would perform on a neutral site against an average BCS conference team.
| RANK | TEAM | CONF. | TAPE | OFFENSE | (RANK) | DEFENSE | (RANK) | PACE | (RANK) | At Large | Top 25 | Win Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Michigan State | BigTen | 12.53 | 70.36 | (29) | 63.18 | (12) | 65.80 | (199) | 84% | 55% | 7% |
Player Per-Game Projections
Projected per-game averages, normalized to average D1 opponent.
| Player | Class | Pos | MIN | FGM | FGA | 3GM | 3GA | FTM | FTA | OREB | DREB | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | PF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Branden Dawson | SO | PF | 29.4 | 4.8 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 3.7 | 4.1 | 3.5 | 7.6 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 11.8 |
| Keith Appling | JR | Combo | 29.0 | 3.7 | 8.6 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 4.2 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 12.3 |
| Gary Harris | FR | SG | 26.5 | 3.3 | 7.9 | 1.0 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 9.8 |
| Derrick Nix | SR | SF | 24.5 | 3.9 | 7.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 5.9 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 9.5 |
| Russell Byrd | SO+ | SG | 19.8 | 1.7 | 6.1 | 1.2 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 6.3 |
| Adreian Payne | JR | Big | 18.2 | 2.6 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 3.5 | 5.7 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 6.9 |
| Denzel Valentine | FR | SG | 16.3 | 1.7 | 4.3 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 4.9 |
| Travis Trice | SO | Combo | 14.5 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 4.1 |
| Matt Costello | FR | PF | 9.4 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 2.5 |
| Brandan Kearney | SO | Wing | 7.6 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Michigan State TEAM | 200.0 | 24.8 | 56.4 | 4.7 | 15.5 | 15.9 | 22.6 | 14.3 | 24.1 | 38.4 | 12.8 | 14.0 | 8.8 | 6.4 | 18.8 | 70.1 | ||
| Michigan State OPPONENTS | 200.0 | 21.3 | 55.7 | 5.7 | 18.8 | 14.7 | 21.3 | 14.2 | 21.1 | 35.3 | 12.5 | 14.3 | 8.0 | 5.7 | 19.4 | 63.0 | ||