The Matchup Zone

2012-2013 Team Projections - Horiz

TAPE Ratings show how a team would perform on a neutral site against an average BCS conference team.

RANK	TEAM	CONF.	TAPE	OFFENSE	(RANK)	DEFENSE	(RANK)	PACE	(RANK)	At Large	Top 25	Win Conf.
108	Cleveland State	Horiz	416	96.61	(173)	101.02	(51)	65.22	(228)	21%	9%	37%
111	Valparaiso	Horiz	405	102.50	(81)	107.53	(151)	66.22	(175)	7%	1%	22%
120	Detroit	Horiz	377	103.72	(65)	110.19	(186)	69.12	(37)	5%	1%	16%
123	Green Bay	Horiz	373	102.03	(92)	108.99	(169)	65.13	(237)	8%	2%	20%
210	Youngstown State	Horiz	217	97.79	(149)	114.22	(267)	67.69	(95)	1%	0%	3%
223	Loyola (IL)	Horiz	197	93.54	(235)	111.97	(226)	62.46	(316)	0%	0%	0%
229	Wright State	Horiz	187	89.72	(281)	108.85	(167)	62.18	(321)	1%	0%	2%
276	Milwaukee	Horiz	125	85.45	(326)	109.51	(175)	66.23	(172)	0%	0%	1%
279	Illinois-Chicago	Horiz	123	92.73	(246)	117.35	(299)	65.84	(197)	0%	0%	0%

Conference Player Projections

Projected per-game averages, normalized to average D1 competition.

Player	Class	Team	MIN	FGM	FGA	3GM	3GA	FTM	FTA	OREB	DREB	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	PF	PTS
Kendrick Perry	JR	YSU	38.0	7.4	16.2	2.4	6.8	4.8	6.2	0.8	3.4	4.2	3.9	2.6	2.6	0.4	2.1	21.9
Ryan Broekhoff	SR	VALPO	38.0	6.5	13.9	2.9	7.2	4.3	5.1	3.2	7.4	10.7	2.5	2.1	1.6	0.8	2.5	20.2
Ray McCallum	JR	DET	36.4	6.1	13.7	1.2	4.2	4.6	5.9	1.4	4.0	5.4	4.0	2.6	1.7	0.2	2.5	18.0
Kevin Van Wijk	SR	VALPO	28.5	6.5	11.8	0.0	0.1	4.6	7.5	3.1	3.8	6.9	0.8	3.1	0.8	0.9	3.5	17.2
Ben Averkamp	SR	LOYIL	35.8	6.2	14.8	1.1	3.0	3.1	4.2	2.8	5.5	8.2	2.8	2.6	0.9	1.3	3.4	16.6
Blake Allen	SR	YSU	39.0	5.2	13.3	3.2	8.8	1.6	2.0	1.0	3.6	4.6	3.5	2.1	1.0	0.1	2.2	15.7
Anton Grady	SO	CLEVE	31.7	5.7	12.0	0.2	0.8	2.9	4.5	3.8	6.5	10.3	1.6	2.4	1.3	2.4	4.3	14.3
James Haarsma	SR+	MIL	31.3	4.6	10.4	1.2	3.3	2.8	4.2	4.4	3.7	8.1	0.8	1.9	0.9	0.2	3.1	13.3
Damian Eargle	SR+	YSU	35.4	5.0	13.1	0.0	0.3	3.5	5.8	4.6	6.3	10.9	0.7	2.1	1.0	5.2	3.2	13.2
Gary Talton	SR	ILLCH	31.1	4.5	11.7	1.1	3.5	3.0	3.4	0.8	3.2	4.0	3.2	2.8	0.7	0.2	2.4	13.0
Alec Brown	JR	GB	29.3	4.5	10.4	0.3	0.9	3.2	4.0	3.6	4.5	8.1	0.8	1.8	0.8	3.6	2.7	12.1
Miles Dixon	JR+	WRI	28.8	4.5	8.9	0.6	1.6	1.8	2.0	1.7	2.1	3.8	1.4	2.8	1.2	0.6	1.9	11.3
Keifer Sykes	SO	GB	28.8	4.3	9.7	0.3	0.9	2.5	3.7	0.7	1.9	2.6	3.2	2.3	0.8	0.1	2.5	11.2
Doug Anderson	SR	DET	29.3	3.7	8.1	0.2	0.8	3.4	4.0	2.7	3.5	6.2	1.4	1.8	1.4	0.6	3.3	10.9
Tim Kamczyc	SR+	CLEVE	33.6	4.0	7.9	1.1	2.7	1.7	2.0	2.2	2.8	5.0	2.3	1.5	1.2	0.3	2.4	10.8
Brennan Cougill	SR	GB	30.7	3.7	8.2	1.1	3.0	2.2	2.9	2.7	6.2	8.9	2.2	2.8	1.0	1.1	2.8	10.8
Nick Minnerath	SR+	DET	25.8	3.6	7.2	0.6	1.5	3.0	3.6	2.3	2.6	4.9	0.9	1.9	0.6	0.4	2.2	10.7
Daniel Barnes	SR+	ILLCH	28.7	3.3	9.7	1.9	6.2	1.2	1.6	0.4	2.9	3.3	1.4	1.8	1.3	0.5	2.1	10.0
Juwan Howard Jr	SO+	DET	24.2	3.4	9.3	0.9	3.0	2.1	2.6	1.7	2.9	4.5	1.6	1.8	0.5	1.0	1.9	10.0
Jason Calliste	JR+	DET	29.2	2.6	7.4	1.4	4.6	2.8	3.6	0.8	2.4	3.3	1.5	1.7	1.0	0.1	2.4	9.3
Reggie Arceneaux	SO	WRI	27.2	3.2	7.7	1.2	3.2	1.3	1.9	0.2	2.1	2.3	1.9	2.5	1.0	0.1	1.9	8.9
Kyle Kelm	JR	MIL	27.5	3.1	8.3	0.6	2.6	1.9	3.0	2.5	4.2	6.8	1.3	1.8	0.5	0.9	2.4	8.7
Will Bogan	SR+	VALPO	29.7	2.8	7.2	2.0	5.6	0.8	1.0	0.5	1.3	1.7	1.5	1.3	0.7	0.0	2.1	8.7
Matt Kenney	SR	VALPO	31.1	2.9	7.2	0.9	2.9	1.9	2.8	1.1	4.0	5.1	2.7	2.3	1.2	1.2	2.6	8.7
Cole Stefan	SO+	GB	26.4	2.7	7.1	2.0	5.6	1.1	1.2	0.7	2.1	2.8	1.3	0.5	0.5	0.4	1.9	8.7
Kam Cerroni	JR	GB	23.9	2.5	5.9	1.9	4.7	1.4	1.6	0.2	1.2	1.4	1.1	1.1	0.6	0.1	1.8	8.6
Joe Crisman	SO	LOYIL	28.0	2.9	8.0	1.0	3.3	1.2	2.0	0.9	1.9	2.8	1.6	1.7	0.9	0.0	1.9	8.1
Marlin Mason	SO	CLEVE	22.3	3.0	6.8	0.8	1.7	0.7	1.2	1.9	3.0	4.9	0.7	2.2	0.4	0.3	2.6	7.7
Hayden Humes	JR+	ILLCH	28.3	2.7	6.6	1.2	3.3	1.0	1.3	2.1	3.9	6.1	1.3	1.2	0.5	0.4	2.9	7.7
Jordan Hicks	SR+	LOYIL	26.8	2.9	8.0	1.1	3.6	0.7	0.9	1.7	2.7	4.4	1.3	1.6	0.9	0.4	1.7	7.6
Jordan Aaron	JR	MIL	27.7	2.4	6.9	0.9	2.9	1.6	2.2	0.8	2.5	3.3	3.1	2.6	0.9	0.1	2.5	7.3
Charles Lee	SO	CLEVE	25.4	2.5	8.2	0.7	3.0	1.5	1.7	0.5	1.8	2.4	2.8	2.8	0.9	0.0	2.9	7.2
Cole Darling	JR	WRI	24.5	2.5	6.5	0.5	1.9	1.4	2.0	2.2	3.3	5.4	0.9	1.4	0.8	0.3	3.0	6.9
Marc Brown	SO	ILLCH	25.6	2.1	6.5	1.0	3.1	1.8	2.4	1.7	1.8	3.5	1.4	1.2	0.8	0.1	2.2	6.9
Bryn Forbes	FR	CLEVE	22.1	2.3	6.9	0.8	2.8	1.2	1.7	1.0	1.7	2.6	1.2	1.7	0.8	0.2	2.0	6.7
Matt Vest	JR	WRI	28.6	2.2	5.7	0.8	2.6	1.0	1.5	0.2	2.8	3.0	2.6	1.7	0.9	0.0	1.2	6.3
Sebastian Douglas	SO+	CLEVE	25.4	2.4	5.2	0.3	0.9	1.0	1.9	1.9	3.0	4.8	1.1	2.1	1.4	0.3	2.3	6.1
Junior Lomomba	FR	CLEVE	18.0	2.0	5.9	0.7	2.4	1.1	1.5	0.8	1.4	2.1	1.0	1.4	0.7	0.2	1.5	5.9
Jeff White	FR	LOYIL	21.4	1.9	5.0	0.7	2.1	1.2	1.7	0.5	1.3	1.8	2.1	1.9	0.7	0.1	1.9	5.7
Evan Richard	SO+	MIL	23.3	1.8	7.6	0.7	3.6	1.3	1.4	1.4	1.8	3.2	0.7	0.8	0.9	0.3	1.5	5.6
Sammy Sutter	SO	ILLCH	13.7	1.9	4.9	0.6	1.9	1.3	1.6	0.8	1.0	1.8	0.7	1.1	0.4	0.1	2.8	5.6
Nick Osborne	FR	LOYIL	19.3	2.1	4.6	0.1	0.3	1.4	2.1	2.0	2.6	4.7	0.6	1.3	0.4	0.8	2.2	5.5
Evan Bruinsma	JR	DET	18.6	1.9	4.4	0.4	1.6	1.2	1.9	1.9	2.4	4.3	0.5	1.1	0.7	0.6	2.7	5.4
Erik Buggs	SR+	VALPO	29.7	2.0	5.3	0.2	1.1	1.2	2.3	0.8	2.3	3.1	3.3	2.6	1.3	0.2	3.4	5.4
Kamren Belin	JR	YSU	20.2	2.1	5.7	0.1	0.5	1.2	2.3	2.2	2.9	5.2	0.5	1.5	0.4	0.9	2.6	5.4
Paris Gulley	SR	MIL	17.3	1.7	6.3	1.0	3.5	0.7	1.0	0.8	1.4	2.2	0.5	0.8	0.3	0.0	1.1	5.3
Thierno Niang	JR	MIL	21.1	1.8	6.3	0.5	2.3	1.1	1.7	1.2	2.4	3.5	1.3	1.6	0.6	0.3	2.1	5.3
Jay Parker	SO	ILLCH	22.0	1.7	4.8	0.6	2.0	1.0	1.5	0.7	1.7	2.4	2.3	2.1	0.8	0.1	2.1	5.2
Austin Arians	FR	MIL	18.3	1.7	5.6	0.6	2.2	1.1	1.4	1.0	1.9	2.9	1.0	1.4	0.5	0.2	1.9	5.1
Christian Thomas	SO	LOYIL	23.9	1.8	3.6	0.1	0.4	1.5	2.1	1.9	2.7	4.7	1.1	1.9	0.3	0.2	2.6	5.1
Armond Battle	SR+	WRI	19.9	1.6	4.7	0.6	2.0	1.2	2.3	1.1	2.5	3.6	0.7	1.6	0.8	0.5	2.2	5.0
AJ Pacher	JR	WRI	12.2	1.8	4.0	0.4	1.2	0.8	1.2	1.6	1.8	3.4	0.3	1.2	0.2	0.4	2.5	4.7
Josh Crittle	SR+	ILLCH	17.7	1.8	4.6	0.0	0.1	1.1	1.6	2.1	1.7	3.7	0.4	1.1	0.5	0.4	2.6	4.5
Daniel Turner	JR	GB	17.3	1.5	4.0	0.4	1.2	1.0	1.6	2.6	2.3	4.9	0.7	1.7	0.7	0.1	1.9	4.4
Ben Boggs	SR	VALPO	19.8	1.3	5.1	0.7	2.8	1.0	1.3	0.9	2.2	3.1	0.9	1.6	0.3	0.1	1.9	4.3
Tanner Williams	FR	LOYIL	15.6	1.3	3.5	0.5	1.4	0.8	1.1	0.3	0.9	1.3	1.5	1.4	0.5	0.1	1.4	4.0
Carrington Love	FR	GB	14.2	1.3	3.5	0.4	1.4	0.8	1.1	0.3	1.0	1.3	1.5	1.4	0.6	0.1	1.3	3.8
Joe Bramanti	FR	WRI	15.9	1.2	3.3	0.4	1.3	0.8	1.1	0.4	1.0	1.4	1.5	1.4	0.7	0.1	1.4	3.7
Bobo Drummond	FR	WRI	15.9	1.2	3.3	0.4	1.3	0.8	1.1	0.4	1.0	1.4	1.5	1.4	0.7	0.1	1.4	3.7
Shawn Amiker Jr	SO+	YSU	18.6	1.4	3.6	0.0	0.4	0.9	2.1	1.5	2.3	3.8	0.5	1.2	0.3	0.2	3.0	3.6
Ludovic Ndaye	JR	CLEVE	16.9	1.2	3.8	0.1	0.5	0.8	1.4	1.6	1.6	3.2	0.3	0.7	0.4	0.4	2.6	3.2
Gabe Snider	FR	ILLCH	12.0	1.1	3.2	0.4	1.3	0.6	0.9	0.6	1.1	1.7	0.6	0.9	0.3	0.1	1.1	3.2
Josh Chojnacki	JR	YSU	21.7	1.2	3.4	0.2	0.9	0.5	0.9	1.2	1.4	2.6	1.4	1.1	0.3	0.4	2.9	3.1
Demetrius Harris	SR	MIL	12.1	1.2	3.5	0.0	0.0	0.7	2.4	1.5	1.8	3.4	0.2	1.6	0.8	0.6	2.3	3.0
Devon Turk	FR	LOYIL	11.5	1.0	2.7	0.3	1.1	0.6	0.8	0.5	0.9	1.4	0.6	0.8	0.3	0.1	1.1	2.9
Olumide Solanke	JR	DET	10.4	1.0	2.6	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.0	1.1	1.4	2.5	0.3	0.8	0.3	0.5	1.5	2.7
Jordan Fouse	FR	GB	10.0	0.9	2.6	0.3	1.0	0.5	0.7	0.4	0.9	1.3	0.5	0.7	0.3	0.1	1.0	2.6
Bobby Capobianco	JR+	VALPO	17.7	1.0	2.3	0.0	0.4	0.6	1.5	2.0	1.9	3.9	0.6	1.0	0.3	0.5	3.9	2.5
Jerran Young	JR	WRI	10.1	0.7	2.1	0.2	0.8	0.4	0.6	0.5	0.9	1.3	0.5	0.7	0.3	0.1	1.0	2.1
Ryan Haggerty	SR+	MIL	15.3	0.7	2.9	0.3	1.5	0.3	0.6	1.1	1.1	2.1	0.2	0.7	0.4	0.4	1.3	2.1
Matt Gorski	FR	ILLCH	7.9	0.8	2.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.8	0.9	1.1	2.1	0.2	0.5	0.2	0.4	1.0	2.0
Jake Wiegand	FR	ILLCH	7.9	0.8	2.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.8	0.9	1.1	2.1	0.2	0.5	0.2	0.4	1.0	2.0
Fletcher Larson	SO+	YSU	17.7	0.9	3.1	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	1.7	2.0	3.7	0.6	0.7	0.1	0.8	3.5	2.0
Jeremy King	FR	LOYIL	8.0	0.7	1.7	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.8	1.0	1.8	0.2	0.5	0.1	0.4	1.1	1.9
Sultan Muhammad	JR	GB	8.0	0.7	2.0	0.2	0.7	0.4	0.6	0.4	0.8	1.1	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.8	1.9
Jermaine Lippert	JR	DET	6.2	0.6	1.6	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.6	0.8	1.4	0.1	0.5	0.2	0.3	0.8	1.5
Ugochukwu Njoku	JR	DET	6.2	0.6	1.6	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.6	0.8	1.4	0.1	0.5	0.2	0.3	0.8	1.5
PJ Boutte	SO	DET	12.3	0.4	1.8	0.1	0.7	0.4	0.6	0.7	1.2	1.9	1.3	1.4	0.5	0.1	1.2	1.4
Jacoby Roddy	FR	WRI	5.3	0.4	1.1	0.1	0.4	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.4	0.7	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.5	1.2
Kendall Griffin	SO	WRI	7.9	0.4	1.0	0.2	0.5	0.2	0.5	0.3	0.8	1.1	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.8	1.1
Nick Arenz	FR	GB	4.5	0.4	1.1	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.6	1.1	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.1
Devon Long	JR	CLEVE	3.1	0.3	0.6	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.6	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.4	0.8
Cully Payne	JR+	LOYIL	3.6	0.2	0.6	0.1	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.5	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.7
DJ Cole	SO	YSU	4.1	0.3	0.9	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.5	0.6
Jared Dimakos	FR+	GB	2.4	0.2	0.6	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.3	0.6
LaVonte Dority	JR	VALPO	2.3	0.2	0.5	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6
Christian Wolf	SR+	MIL	2.6	0.1	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.4	0.4
Tommy Kurth	JR+	VALPO	2.9	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3
Mike Podolsky	JR	YSU	2.5	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.2	0.3
Bill Clark	JR	LOYIL	2.5	0.0	0.2	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.0