The Matchup Zone

2012-2013 Team Projections - MVC

TAPE Ratings show how a team would perform on a neutral site against an average BCS conference team.

RANK	TEAM	CONF.	TAPE	OFFENSE	(RANK)	DEFENSE	(RANK)	PACE	(RANK)	At Large	Top 25	Win Conf.
50	Northern Iowa	MVC	565	106.25	(32)	102.64	(68)	59.63	(339)	42%	17%	27%
54	Creighton	MVC	557	111.70	(6)	108.65	(165)	65.65	(209)	39%	12%	22%
56	Wichita State	MVC	546	102.27	(87)	99.85	(38)	65.26	(226)	43%	17%	27%
89	Illinois State	MVC	458	104.02	(63)	106.30	(127)	63.96	(278)	12%	2%	5%
101	Indiana State	MVC	432	99.60	(124)	103.24	(78)	65.07	(239)	17%	5%	9%
104	Evansville	MVC	427	105.37	(42)	109.21	(170)	66.75	(143)	11%	3%	5%
147	Drake	MVC	322	100.21	(117)	110.04	(184)	65.17	(231)	6%	1%	3%
153	Missouri State	MVC	312	96.03	(181)	106.59	(135)	63.28	(292)	3%	1%	1%
214	Bradley	MVC	208	93.04	(244)	109.99	(183)	66.94	(135)	0%	0%	0%
240	Southern Illinois	MVC	174	90.32	(274)	109.87	(178)	65.54	(214)	0%	0%	0%

Conference Player Projections

Projected per-game averages, normalized to average D1 competition.

Player	Class	Team	MIN	FGM	FGA	3GM	3GA	FTM	FTA	OREB	DREB	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	PF	PTS
Doug McDermott	JR	CREI	32.0	9.2	15.5	1.9	3.6	4.7	5.6	3.2	5.5	8.7	1.0	2.4	0.2	0.1	1.8	24.9
Colt Ryan	SR	EVAN	36.5	6.6	15.4	2.4	6.1	6.8	7.7	0.7	3.7	4.4	3.1	2.7	1.9	0.3	2.6	22.2
Ben Simons	SR	DRAK	32.4	6.0	12.1	2.7	6.2	2.5	2.8	0.9	2.7	3.6	1.2	1.4	0.8	0.4	2.1	17.5
Desmar Jackson	JR	SILL	33.3	5.7	12.1	1.0	3.0	3.9	5.0	2.1	4.0	6.1	2.1	3.9	2.3	0.9	2.8	16.1
Jake Odum	JR+	INDST	36.6	4.4	10.6	0.6	2.2	4.9	6.2	1.6	6.1	7.7	5.3	3.8	2.2	0.5	3.1	13.9
Seth Tuttle	SO	NIOWA	34.9	5.0	8.1	0.2	0.5	3.8	5.8	4.2	4.8	9.0	1.6	1.9	1.3	1.0	2.7	13.8
Tyler Brown	SR+	ILLST	29.8	4.4	9.9	2.1	5.0	2.6	3.1	1.1	2.9	4.0	2.1	2.6	1.0	0.2	1.8	13.6
Ned Cox	SR	EVAN	31.7	4.5	11.5	1.6	4.5	2.5	2.5	0.5	1.7	2.2	3.6	1.9	0.5	0.2	2.5	13.3
Anthony Downing	SR+	MOST	29.8	4.5	10.7	1.5	4.5	2.6	3.0	0.5	3.0	3.4	2.0	1.7	0.5	0.0	1.9	13.1
Jackie Carmichael	SR	ILLST	27.3	4.5	9.2	0.1	0.3	4.3	6.0	3.1	6.7	9.8	0.9	2.3	0.6	1.7	2.5	13.1
Malcolm Armstead	SR+	WICH	31.5	4.8	10.3	1.2	3.3	1.7	2.3	1.3	2.9	4.2	4.0	3.1	2.7	0.0	2.9	12.6
Dyricus Simms-Edwards	SR	BRAD	30.5	3.9	9.8	1.7	4.6	2.5	3.2	0.7	3.3	4.0	2.4	2.6	1.3	0.2	1.9	11.9
Anthony James	SR+	NIOWA	27.0	4.0	10.1	1.0	2.6	2.7	3.4	0.5	3.5	4.0	1.4	1.5	0.7	0.0	1.8	11.8
Walt Lemon	JR	BRAD	27.9	4.1	8.6	0.9	2.5	2.7	3.9	0.3	2.7	3.0	2.2	3.1	1.2	0.7	2.8	11.7
Fred Van Vleet	FR	WICH	27.7	3.8	8.9	1.3	3.7	2.1	2.6	0.7	2.4	3.1	2.6	2.2	1.2	0.1	2.1	11.1
Jake Kitchell	SO+	INDST	26.3	4.5	7.2	0.8	1.7	0.9	1.7	1.8	3.0	4.8	0.5	1.4	0.6	2.1	2.9	10.9
RJ Mahurin	JR+	INDST	20.8	3.1	8.4	1.4	4.5	2.0	2.9	1.1	2.6	3.7	0.5	1.0	0.5	0.8	2.3	9.7
Carl Hall	SR	WICH	24.1	3.8	7.0	0.0	0.0	2.0	3.3	3.3	3.2	6.5	0.7	1.0	0.5	1.1	2.4	9.5
Seth VanDeest	JR+	DRAK	27.1	3.2	6.5	0.0	0.2	3.3	4.2	2.1	4.2	6.3	1.6	1.6	0.5	1.1	2.6	9.5
Ka'Darryl Bell	FR	BRAD	27.8	3.2	7.6	1.1	3.1	1.9	2.5	0.8	2.3	3.0	2.7	2.3	1.3	0.2	2.2	9.4
Jake Koch	SR+	NIOWA	31.9	2.6	6.8	1.2	3.6	2.8	3.5	1.6	4.5	6.1	2.7	2.1	1.1	1.7	2.3	9.2
Kendal Brown-Surles	SR	SILL	30.2	2.9	7.5	1.8	5.3	1.4	1.7	0.8	2.2	3.0	2.4	1.9	1.2	0.3	3.0	9.1
Marcus Marshall	FR	MOST	24.8	3.1	7.9	1.0	3.0	1.6	2.2	1.3	2.6	3.9	1.4	1.7	0.7	0.3	2.1	8.8
Jon Ekey	JR+	ILLST	29.2	3.0	7.3	1.5	4.1	0.9	1.2	1.5	3.6	5.2	1.6	0.7	0.6	1.0	2.1	8.6
Tekele Cotton	SO	WICH	27.4	3.1	6.2	0.9	2.2	1.5	2.4	1.9	2.9	4.8	1.3	1.6	1.5	0.4	3.3	8.5
Jordan Jahr	SO+	EVAN	20.0	2.9	8.0	1.3	4.0	1.1	1.4	1.6	3.0	4.5	0.7	1.4	0.1	0.4	3.3	8.4
Josh Jones	SR+	CREI	24.5	2.6	6.4	1.6	4.3	1.0	1.6	0.2	2.3	2.5	2.2	1.3	0.9	0.0	1.6	7.9
Ryan Sawvell	SO	EVAN	25.7	3.2	6.0	0.0	0.1	1.4	2.5	2.4	3.0	5.5	0.6	1.0	0.8	0.4	2.5	7.9
Jeff Early	SR	SILL	23.1	3.0	7.3	0.3	1.2	1.5	2.6	2.4	2.4	4.8	0.8	2.0	1.2	0.6	3.0	7.8
Kaza Keane	FR	ILLST	24.2	2.6	6.5	0.9	2.6	1.7	2.2	0.6	1.9	2.5	2.3	1.9	1.0	0.1	1.9	7.8
TJ Lindsay	SR	SILL	25.1	2.8	7.1	1.3	3.8	0.6	1.2	0.5	2.4	2.9	1.3	1.7	0.9	0.1	2.6	7.6
Dorrian Williams	FR+	MOST	26.4	2.5	6.9	0.9	3.1	1.4	1.9	0.6	2.0	2.6	2.6	2.2	1.0	0.1	2.7	7.4
Keith Pickens	JR+	MOST	29.7	2.4	5.6	0.2	0.6	2.3	3.5	2.7	4.0	6.7	1.8	1.1	0.8	1.3	2.8	7.2
Devonte Brown	FR+	INDST	26.1	2.4	6.4	0.9	2.9	1.4	1.9	0.6	1.9	2.4	2.5	2.2	1.1	0.1	2.7	7.2
Marc Sonnen	SR	NIOWA	25.3	2.3	5.3	1.3	3.1	1.2	1.5	0.7	1.3	2.1	1.4	1.0	0.7	0.1	2.2	7.2
Gregory Echenique	SR+	CREI	19.1	2.7	5.1	0.0	0.0	1.8	3.1	3.0	3.3	6.3	0.5	1.4	0.3	2.1	1.6	7.0
Will Egolf	SR++	BRAD	21.2	2.8	6.3	0.0	0.1	1.5	2.1	2.1	2.6	4.7	0.6	1.6	0.7	0.7	3.0	7.0
Troy Taylor	SR	EVAN	32.5	2.2	4.9	0.0	0.1	2.6	3.2	2.3	4.0	6.3	3.9	2.5	1.8	0.1	3.2	6.7
Ron Baker	FR+	WICH	21.9	2.3	5.8	0.9	2.6	1.2	1.6	0.5	1.7	2.2	2.1	1.9	1.0	0.1	2.3	6.7
Tevin Bracey	JR	MOST	21.6	2.3	6.4	0.8	2.5	1.3	1.8	0.6	1.6	2.2	1.8	1.7	0.7	0.1	2.1	6.7
Deon Mitchell	SO	NIOWA	18.8	2.2	5.4	0.5	1.4	1.7	2.3	0.4	1.8	2.2	1.4	2.1	0.4	0.1	1.0	6.6
Grant Gibbs	JR++	CREI	27.9	2.1	4.7	0.5	1.4	1.9	2.7	1.0	3.4	4.4	4.1	2.0	1.0	0.2	2.3	6.6
Christian Kirk	SO	MOST	22.7	2.7	6.1	0.0	0.1	1.0	1.7	2.3	3.5	5.8	0.7	1.1	0.4	0.2	2.7	6.5
Jordan Clarke	SR+	DRAK	25.8	2.4	5.3	0.0	0.0	1.3	3.4	3.9	5.5	9.4	1.2	1.8	1.6	0.6	3.1	6.1
Jeremy Jeffers	SO+	DRAK	18.9	2.0	4.4	0.7	1.8	1.1	1.5	0.3	1.8	2.1	0.7	0.7	0.3	0.0	1.9	5.9
Matt Morrison	JR+	NIOWA	20.5	2.1	5.2	1.0	2.5	0.5	0.7	0.0	1.7	1.7	1.3	1.3	0.8	0.0	1.6	5.8
Jake Eastman	SR	BRAD	24.3	2.0	5.6	0.8	2.9	1.0	1.4	1.3	2.9	4.2	1.5	1.0	0.8	0.3	1.6	5.8
Karl Madison	SO+	DRAK	24.0	1.9	5.6	0.4	1.2	1.5	2.1	0.5	1.4	1.9	2.2	2.1	0.7	0.1	2.4	5.7
Mitch McLaughlin	FR+	DRAK	21.8	1.9	5.1	0.7	2.3	1.1	1.5	0.5	1.6	2.1	2.2	1.8	1.0	0.1	2.3	5.6
Will Artino	SO+	CREI	14.7	2.2	4.1	0.0	0.0	1.1	1.6	1.5	3.0	4.5	0.8	1.2	0.3	0.6	2.6	5.5
Lucas Eitel	JR+	INDST	24.1	1.8	4.8	1.0	3.0	0.7	1.0	1.0	2.5	3.4	1.5	1.0	0.6	0.2	1.7	5.4
Nick Zeisloft	FR+	ILLST	21.7	1.8	4.8	0.6	2.1	1.1	1.5	0.5	1.6	2.0	2.1	1.8	0.9	0.1	2.3	5.3
John Wilkins	SR	ILLST	18.7	1.7	4.6	0.5	1.9	1.5	2.1	1.4	2.4	3.9	0.6	1.0	0.4	0.7	2.0	5.3
Gavin Thurman	FR	MOST	16.7	2.0	4.7	0.1	0.5	1.2	1.8	2.1	2.7	4.8	0.4	1.0	0.3	0.8	2.0	5.3
Dawon Cummings	JR	INDST	18.2	1.8	4.8	0.6	2.0	0.9	1.4	0.8	2.1	3.0	1.0	1.2	0.4	0.2	1.7	5.0
Demetric Williams	SR	WICH	19.6	1.6	3.8	0.6	1.6	0.9	1.0	0.1	1.5	1.6	1.5	1.1	0.6	0.2	1.4	4.8
Jordan Prosser	JR+	BRAD	15.9	1.7	4.0	0.0	0.1	1.1	1.6	2.0	2.5	4.6	0.3	1.0	0.3	0.1	1.3	4.5
Colby Long	JR	SILL	26.4	1.4	4.4	0.6	2.1	0.9	1.3	0.5	1.6	2.2	2.6	2.3	1.3	0.1	3.3	4.4
Isaiah Zierden	FR	CREI	12.9	1.5	3.8	0.5	1.4	0.8	1.2	0.5	1.3	1.9	0.8	0.9	0.3	0.2	1.1	4.3
Richard Carter	JR	DRAK	15.2	1.5	4.0	0.5	1.6	0.9	1.2	0.4	1.1	1.5	1.3	1.2	0.6	0.1	1.5	4.3
Gary Ricks Jr	JR	DRAK	15.2	1.5	4.0	0.5	1.6	0.9	1.2	0.4	1.1	1.5	1.3	1.2	0.6	0.1	1.5	4.3
Chris Hines	SR+	DRAK	10.2	1.5	4.1	0.9	2.8	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.7	0.8	0.2	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.6	4.3
Joe Kelling	SR	CREI	21.4	1.4	4.0	0.5	1.9	0.8	1.1	0.4	1.4	1.7	2.2	1.9	0.8	0.1	2.8	4.2
Mangisto Arop	JR+	INDST	15.8	1.6	4.1	0.5	1.5	0.4	0.9	1.8	1.8	3.6	0.4	1.0	0.4	0.1	1.0	4.1
Jahenns Manigat	JR	CREI	17.1	1.3	3.4	0.9	2.6	0.6	0.7	0.3	1.5	1.8	1.0	0.7	0.5	0.0	1.4	4.1
Davante Drinkard	JR	SILL	14.7	1.6	3.7	0.0	0.0	0.7	1.4	1.4	1.3	2.7	0.2	0.8	0.2	0.9	2.3	3.9
Johnny Hill	SO	ILLST	16.0	1.3	3.0	0.2	0.8	1.1	1.8	1.0	1.6	2.6	1.0	0.6	0.4	0.2	2.0	3.9
Cleanthony Early	JR	WICH	12.9	1.4	3.7	0.5	1.5	0.7	1.0	0.6	1.7	2.2	0.7	0.9	0.3	0.1	1.2	3.9
Nick Wiggins	JR	WICH	12.9	1.4	3.7	0.5	1.5	0.7	1.0	0.6	1.7	2.2	0.7	0.9	0.3	0.1	1.2	3.9
Chip Rank	JR	NIOWA	15.6	1.3	3.0	0.6	1.7	0.7	0.9	0.8	1.5	2.4	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.1	1.1	3.9
Bryant Allen	JR+	ILLST	9.8	1.3	3.2	0.7	1.9	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.8	3.7
Lewis Jones	SR	EVAN	13.5	1.4	4.3	0.1	0.6	0.8	1.2	1.1	1.1	2.2	0.3	1.1	0.2	0.1	1.8	3.7
Darrion Harris	FR	BRAD	18.9	1.2	3.4	0.5	1.6	0.7	1.0	0.4	1.3	1.6	1.9	1.7	0.9	0.1	2.6	3.6
Justin Gant	SO	INDST	12.7	1.3	3.3	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.9	1.1	1.4	2.4	0.4	0.8	0.2	1.2	1.4	3.5
Jaylon Moore	SO	EVAN	15.0	1.3	1.8	0.0	0.0	1.0	2.1	1.7	1.4	3.1	0.1	0.6	0.3	0.1	1.6	3.5
Josh Swan	SO	SILL	16.1	1.1	3.3	0.2	0.8	0.9	1.7	0.8	1.9	2.8	0.9	1.4	0.4	0.1	1.3	3.2
Avery Dingman	SO	CREI	8.8	1.0	2.8	0.7	2.2	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.7	1.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.9	3.1
Diamond Taylor	JR+	SILL	11.6	1.0	3.1	0.4	1.4	0.6	0.9	0.3	1.1	1.4	0.4	0.6	0.0	0.1	1.0	3.0
Brandon Burnett	FR+	INDST	9.9	1.0	2.7	0.3	1.1	0.5	0.7	0.5	0.9	1.4	0.5	0.7	0.3	0.1	1.0	2.9
Mason Alwan	JR	BRAD	11.3	1.0	2.8	0.3	1.2	0.5	0.9	0.6	1.4	2.0	0.6	0.8	0.3	0.1	1.1	2.9
Anthony Cousin	SR	ILLST	12.7	0.8	2.3	0.4	1.2	0.6	0.7	0.3	0.8	1.1	1.1	0.6	0.3	0.0	0.5	2.5
Jalen Crawford	SO	BRAD	9.0	1.0	2.6	0.4	1.1	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.6	1.1	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.5	2.5
Chadrack Lufile	JR	WICH	8.5	1.0	2.3	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.8	0.8	1.4	2.2	0.3	0.6	0.2	0.4	1.2	2.3
Michael Simpson	FR	MOST	8.1	0.8	2.3	0.3	1.0	0.4	0.6	0.4	0.8	1.2	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.8	2.3
Ethan Wragge	JR+	CREI	6.7	0.7	2.2	0.5	1.9	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.9	1.2	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.6	2.1
Matt Bohannon	FR+	NIOWA	8.9	0.7	1.9	0.2	0.8	0.4	0.6	0.4	0.8	1.1	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.9	2.0
Jake White	SO	WICH	6.2	0.7	1.8	0.2	0.6	0.3	0.6	0.8	1.2	2.0	0.1	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.7	1.9
DJ Balentine	FR	EVAN	6.7	0.6	1.7	0.2	0.7	0.3	0.5	0.3	0.5	0.8	0.3	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.7	1.8
Jordan Threloff	SO+	ILLST	6.6	0.7	1.6	0.0	0.0	0.5	0.8	1.0	1.3	2.3	0.2	0.4	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.8
Nathan Scheer	JR	MOST	13.6	0.5	2.5	0.3	1.8	0.4	0.5	0.2	1.2	1.4	0.3	0.5	0.3	0.0	1.0	1.8
Anthony Beane Jr	FR	SILL	7.0	0.6	1.6	0.2	0.7	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.6	1.0	0.3	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.7	1.6
Jalen Pendleton	FR	SILL	7.0	0.6	1.6	0.2	0.7	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.6	1.0	0.3	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.7	1.6
Rokas Cesnulevicius	SO	EVAN	10.9	0.5	1.3	0.0	0.0	0.3	1.0	1.4	1.1	2.5	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.5	2.2	1.4
Shayok Shayok	SO	BRAD	5.9	0.5	1.4	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.7	1.3	0.2	0.5	0.1	0.2	0.7	1.3
Chris Olivier	FR+	NIOWA	6.2	0.5	1.2	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.8	1.4	0.1	0.4	0.1	0.3	0.9	1.3
Bruce Marshall	FR	MOST	5.1	0.5	1.2	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.6	0.7	1.3	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.2	0.7	1.2
Jordan Nelson	SO	EVAN	5.1	0.4	1.3	0.3	1.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.3	1.0
Austin Chatman	SO	CREI	4.9	0.4	1.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.5	1.0
Micah Mason	FR	DRAK	3.7	0.3	0.9	0.1	0.4	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.4	1.0
TJ Bell	FR	INDST	3.7	0.3	0.8	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.9	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.9
Khristian Smith	FR	INDST	3.7	0.3	0.8	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.9	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.9
Tyshon Pickett	JR	BRAD	3.1	0.3	0.7	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.5	0.8	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.7
Matt MacDougall	FR	NIOWA	3.1	0.2	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.3	0.7
Chase Heins	FR	SILL	3.3	0.2	0.6	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.8	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.5	0.6
Evan Wessel	SO	WICH	2.7	0.2	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.2	0.6
Ehimen Orupke	SR+	WICH	2.1	0.1	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.4
Max Martino	SO+	NIOWA	3.6	0.1	0.3	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.0	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.4	0.2
Antonio Bryer	SO	SILL	2.3	0.0	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.2