2012-2013 Team Projections - Pat
TAPE Ratings show how a team would perform on a neutral site against an average BCS conference team.
RANK | TEAM | CONF. | TAPE | OFFENSE | (RANK) | DEFENSE | (RANK) | PACE | (RANK) | At Large | Top 25 | Win Conf. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
65 | Lehigh | Pat | 515 | 105.23 | (44) | 104.44 | (96) | 70.14 | (25) | 26% | 9% | 49% |
86 | Bucknell | Pat | 463 | 104.87 | (49) | 106.87 | (142) | 64.70 | (249) | 19% | 5% | 46% |
208 | Army | Pat | 218 | 94.54 | (219) | 110.81 | (206) | 67.02 | (132) | 1% | 0% | 3% |
213 | American | Pat | 211 | 93.00 | (245) | 110.43 | (192) | 61.78 | (326) | 0% | 0% | 1% |
232 | Holy Cross | Pat | 185 | 93.13 | (243) | 112.08 | (229) | 65.80 | (200) | 0% | 0% | 1% |
258 | Lafayette | Pat | 145 | 97.19 | (159) | 119.81 | (323) | 66.51 | (157) | 0% | 0% | 0% |
299 | Colgate | Pat | 90 | 90.99 | (263) | 119.68 | (321) | 66.04 | (185) | 0% | 0% | 0% |
330 | Navy | Pat | 57 | 84.51 | (332) | 117.18 | (297) | 67.60 | (100) | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Conference Player Projections
Projected per-game averages, normalized to average D1 competition.
Player | Class | Team | MIN | FGM | FGA | 3GM | 3GA | FTM | FTA | OREB | DREB | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | PF | PTS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CJ McCollum | SR | LEHI | 38.0 | 8.1 | 18.2 | 2.1 | 5.7 | 6.8 | 8.1 | 2.2 | 6.0 | 8.2 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 25.1 |
Ella Ellis | SR | ARMY | 32.1 | 6.1 | 13.7 | 2.5 | 6.2 | 4.5 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 19.2 |
Mike Muscala | SR | BUCK | 30.9 | 5.5 | 11.8 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 6.2 | 7.4 | 3.7 | 6.8 | 10.5 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 17.1 |
Seth Hinrichs | SO | LAF | 30.5 | 5.1 | 10.2 | 2.1 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 3.7 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 14.8 |
Gabe Knutson | SR | LEHI | 29.1 | 4.3 | 9.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 7.0 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 2.8 | 12.7 |
Stephen Lumpkins | SR+ | AMER | 28.7 | 4.6 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 5.1 | 8.6 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 12.1 |
Pat Moore | JR | COLG | 27.8 | 3.7 | 8.5 | 1.9 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 11.2 |
Joe Willman | SR | BUCK | 28.4 | 4.4 | 9.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 6.1 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2.8 | 11.0 |
Jordan Stevens | SR | HOLY | 30.5 | 4.0 | 10.2 | 1.6 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 10.7 |
Tony Johnson | SR | LAF | 32.9 | 3.9 | 7.1 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 10.5 |
Dave Dudzinski | JR | HOLY | 25.2 | 3.6 | 8.3 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 4.1 | 6.9 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 10.2 |
Tony Wroblicky | JR | AMER | 28.6 | 4.3 | 10.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 5.0 | 5.3 | 10.3 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 10.2 |
Isaiah Roberts | JR | NAVY | 27.3 | 3.8 | 8.7 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 3.2 | 10.0 |
Cameron Ayers | JR | BUCK | 29.1 | 3.3 | 8.1 | 1.3 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 9.9 |
Thurgood Wynn | JR | NAVY | 28.0 | 3.4 | 7.8 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 9.6 |
Brandon James | SR | COLG | 25.7 | 3.3 | 8.5 | 1.4 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 5.1 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 9.4 |
Joey Ptasinski | SO | LAF | 27.4 | 3.1 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 5.0 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 9.2 |
Worth Smith | SO | NAVY | 27.8 | 3.5 | 8.4 | 1.1 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 7.4 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 9.1 |
Mitch Rolls | SR | COLG | 27.7 | 3.0 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 9.1 |
Mackey McKnight | JR | LEHI | 29.1 | 2.8 | 6.5 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 8.8 |
Justin Burrell | SO | HOLY | 27.4 | 2.8 | 8.8 | 0.9 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 8.8 |
Holden Greiner | SR | LEHI | 24.2 | 3.0 | 7.3 | 1.1 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 8.7 |
Bryson Johnson | SR | BUCK | 25.8 | 2.5 | 7.2 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 8.5 |
Milton Washington | SO | ARMY | 24.7 | 3.1 | 6.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 8.4 |
Brandon Venturini | SO | NAVY | 26.2 | 3.0 | 9.4 | 1.8 | 5.9 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 3.7 | 8.2 |
Daniel Munoz | SR | AMER | 30.8 | 2.5 | 6.9 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 8.1 |
Josh Herbeck | JR | ARMY | 21.9 | 2.6 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 7.6 |
Dan Trist | SO | LAF | 20.1 | 3.1 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 7.5 |
Murphy Burnatowski | JR | COLG | 22.5 | 2.5 | 7.6 | 1.1 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 7.3 |
Jason Pancoe | SR | ARMY | 29.6 | 2.7 | 5.8 | 1.4 | 3.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 7.3 |
Maxwell Lenox | SO | ARMY | 27.3 | 2.5 | 5.4 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 3.1 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 7.2 |
Ben Brackney | JR | BUCK | 20.6 | 2.3 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 7.0 |
Malcolm Miller | SO | HOLY | 24.2 | 2.4 | 6.0 | 0.9 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 4.5 | 5.2 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 6.8 |
Bryce Scott | FR | LAF | 22.8 | 2.2 | 6.2 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 6.5 |
Donya Jackson | SO | NAVY | 20.0 | 2.5 | 6.1 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 6.2 |
Phil Beans | SR | HOLY | 18.1 | 2.3 | 5.7 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 6.2 |
John Brandenburg | SR+ | COLG | 17.0 | 2.2 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 5.9 |
Cullen Hamilton | FR | HOLY | 19.7 | 2.0 | 5.6 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 5.9 |
Zach Rufer | FR | LAF | 20.4 | 2.1 | 5.8 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 5.8 |
Levi Giese | SR | LAF | 19.6 | 1.9 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 3.9 | 5.3 |
Kendall Knorr | FR | NAVY | 18.5 | 1.8 | 4.8 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 5.2 |
Billy Dooley | FR | AMER | 19.0 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 5.0 |
Jesse Reed | FR | AMER | 19.0 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 5.0 |
Marko Vasic | FR | AMER | 19.0 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 5.0 |
John Schoof | SO | AMER | 23.8 | 1.5 | 5.4 | 0.9 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 4.8 |
BJ Bailey | JR+ | LEHI | 20.3 | 1.7 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 4.8 |
Dee Goens | SR | HOLY | 21.4 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 4.7 |
Matt McMullen | SO | COLG | 24.6 | 1.7 | 5.4 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 4.7 |
Les Smith | JR | LAF | 21.7 | 1.5 | 4.3 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 4.5 |
Brennan Wyatt | JR | NAVY | 24.9 | 1.2 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 4.3 |
Zach Elcano | FR | AMER | 16.4 | 1.6 | 4.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 4.0 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 4.2 |
Mo Williams | SO | ARMY | 18.0 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 4.1 |
Alex Ramon | FR | COLG | 15.5 | 1.4 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 4.0 |
Damon Sherman-Newsome | FR | COLG | 15.5 | 1.4 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 4.0 |
Luke Roh | SO | COLG | 20.1 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 3.0 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 3.8 |
Brian Fitzpatrick | JR+ | BUCK | 11.1 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 3.5 |
Corey Schaefer | SO | LEHI | 16.9 | 1.0 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.5 |
Ryan Frazier | FR | BUCK | 13.4 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 3.4 |
Taylor Abt | SO | HOLY | 12.6 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 3.4 |
Devon Carter | FR | LEHI | 12.7 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 3.3 |
Steven Kaspar | SO | BUCK | 18.4 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 3.0 |
Eric Obeysekere | SR | HOLY | 14.3 | 1.1 | 3.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 4.6 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2.9 |
Andrew Stire | JR | ARMY | 12.9 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 2.9 |
James Loupos | JR | NAVY | 14.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 2.6 |
Anthony D'Orazio | JR | LEHI | 9.8 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 2.2 |
Ryan Hill | JR | BUCK | 15.1 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 2.1 |
Jordan Springer | SR | ARMY | 8.6 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
Daniel Fisher | SR | AMER | 11.5 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
Christopher Morgan | FR | HOLY | 5.2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.5 |
Jesse Chuku | FR | LEHI | 5.9 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
Justin Goldsborough | FR | LEHI | 5.9 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
Joshea Singleton | SO | BUCK | 3.7 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
Matt Gramling | FR | ARMY | 4.8 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
Tanner Plomb | FR | ARMY | 4.8 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
Mike Bersch | SR | AMER | 2.4 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.1 |
Stefan Cvrkalj | SO | LEHI | 3.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 |
Conroy Baltimore | SO | LEHI | 3.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
Kevin Alter | SO | NAVY | 3.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
Chad Johnson | JR | COLG | 2.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
Jalen Harris | SO | ARMY | 3.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
Jared Smoot | SO | NAVY | 5.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
Alan Flannigan | SO | LAF | 2.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 |