2013-2014 Team Projections
Team projections are built on the lineups you see below. If you see a player listed who shouldn't be there, or if there's a player missing who should be included, please let me know.
TAPE Ratings show how a team would perform on a neutral site against an average BCS conference team.
| RANK | TEAM | CONF. | TAPE | OFFENSE | (RANK) | DEFENSE | (RANK) | PACE | (RANK) | At Large | Top 25 | Win Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Michigan State | BigTen | 13.28 | 72.02 | (10) | 63.33 | (2) | 64.91 | (207) | 95% | 82% | 19% |
Player Per-Game Projections
Projected per-game averages, normalized to average D1 opponent.
| Player | Class | Pos | MIN | FGM | FGA | 3GM | 3GA | FTM | FTA | OREB | DREB | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | PF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris | SO | SG | 33.6 | 5.8 | 11.0 | 2.3 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 16.9 |
| Keith Appling | SR | SG | 32.9 | 4.6 | 10.2 | 1.3 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 5.0 | 0.4 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 14.2 |
| Denzel Valentine | SO | SF | 28.7 | 3.1 | 6.3 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 4.6 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.3 |
| Branden Dawson | JR | PF | 26.3 | 4.1 | 7.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 4.1 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 9.9 |
| Adreian Payne | SR | Big | 23.3 | 3.6 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 5.3 | 7.5 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 10.2 |
| Travis Trice | JR | Combo | 18.9 | 1.9 | 4.9 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 5.7 |
| Kenny Kaminski | FR+ | PF | 12.9 | 1.2 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.3 |
| Gavin Schilling | FR | PF | 10.3 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 2.7 |
| Alex Gauna | JR+ | SF | 7.2 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.7 |
| Matt Costello | SO | Big | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| Russell Byrd | JR+ | Wing | 2.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Michigan State TEAM | 200.0 | 25.3 | 54.2 | 6.6 | 17.5 | 13.5 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 24.6 | 35.6 | 13.3 | 13.6 | 8.4 | 4.0 | 17.1 | 70.8 | ||
| Michigan State OPPONENTS | 200.0 | 22.1 | 54.4 | 5.6 | 18.0 | 12.5 | 17.8 | 10.8 | 21.1 | 31.9 | 11.0 | 13.3 | 7.2 | 3.1 | 17.7 | 62.3 | ||