The Matchup Zone

2012-2013 Team Projections - Sland

TAPE Ratings show how a team would perform on a neutral site against an average BCS conference team.

RANK	TEAM	CONF.	TAPE	OFFENSE	(RANK)	DEFENSE	(RANK)	PACE	(RANK)	At Large	Top 25	Win Conf.
128	Stephen F. Austin	Sland	362	97.94	(146)	105.75	(115)	58.29	(344)	6%	1%	51%
167	Oral Roberts	Sland	289	100.51	(113)	112.49	(237)	65.56	(213)	2%	0%	4%
195	Texas State	Sland	235	96.20	(178)	110.55	(196)	74.78	(3)	1%	0%	20%
234	McNeese State	Sland	184	93.40	(241)	112.48	(236)	65.03	(240)	0%	0%	8%
246	Southeast Louisiana	Sland	164	90.36	(271)	111.05	(211)	64.48	(258)	0%	0%	7%
247	Sam Houston State	Sland	162	89.21	(286)	109.96	(181)	66.14	(179)	0%	0%	7%
273	Nicholls State	Sland	129	95.79	(186)	120.46	(326)	62.49	(315)	0%	0%	1%
286	Central Arkansas	Sland	112	91.02	(262)	115.50	(280)	69.93	(29)	0%	0%	3%
296	Lamar	Sland	92	84.76	(329)	111.71	(223)	70.03	(27)	0%	0%	1%
320	Texas A&M Corpus Christi	Sland	70	83.71	(333)	114.55	(270)	65.25	(227)	0%	0%	1%
323	Northwestern State	Sland	70	86.88	(312)	116.31	(290)	73.15	(6)	0%	0%	0%

Conference Player Projections

Projected per-game averages, normalized to average D1 competition.

Player	Class	Team	MIN	FGM	FGA	3GM	3GA	FTM	FTA	OREB	DREB	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	PF	PTS
Brandon Fortenberry	SR+	SELA	36.5	5.8	13.8	1.9	5.8	3.2	4.4	0.8	3.4	4.1	2.7	1.7	0.9	0.7	1.7	16.8
Matt Staff	SR+	TXST	32.6	6.4	13.0	1.1	2.5	2.8	3.7	3.3	6.9	10.2	2.0	2.6	0.6	2.2	3.5	16.7
LaQuentin Miles	JR+	CARK	32.4	6.0	14.6	0.0	0.0	3.5	6.5	4.0	2.2	6.2	2.4	3.0	2.4	0.4	2.5	15.4
Shamir Davis	SR	NWST	30.7	4.7	11.5	0.9	2.8	4.6	6.0	0.9	2.1	2.9	2.9	3.0	1.6	0.2	2.1	14.7
Taylor Smith	SR	SFA	31.4	6.1	9.5	0.0	0.1	1.6	4.8	3.9	6.3	10.1	0.5	1.8	0.5	2.8	3.1	13.9
Warren Niles	SR	ORU	32.8	4.6	11.1	2.1	6.0	2.4	2.9	1.4	3.1	4.5	2.0	1.9	1.0	0.3	1.9	13.8
Dantrell Thomas	JR	NICH	29.9	5.0	10.7	1.1	2.9	2.7	3.8	1.5	2.9	4.5	1.5	2.3	1.1	0.1	3.8	13.7
Demarcus Gatlin	JR	SHSU	30.1	4.8	11.7	1.2	3.7	3.0	4.9	2.3	2.8	5.2	2.5	2.9	1.0	0.6	2.6	13.7
Fred Hunter	SR+	NICH	30.6	5.3	10.0	0.8	1.9	1.9	3.0	3.3	4.1	7.5	1.2	3.3	0.9	0.1	2.6	13.2
Steven Roundtree	JR	ORU	31.3	4.9	9.7	0.0	0.1	3.6	5.0	4.3	4.4	8.7	1.7	2.4	1.3	0.6	3.6	13.1
Robert Crawford	SR+	CARK	32.2	4.4	10.5	2.1	5.7	1.7	2.8	2.5	2.6	5.1	1.9	2.7	1.4	0.6	3.3	12.7
Dontae Cannon	SR	MCNE	34.6	4.3	11.2	1.0	3.0	2.7	3.2	1.4	3.4	4.8	2.5	2.4	1.2	0.1	2.4	12.3
Antonio Bostic	SR	SFA	33.2	4.4	10.7	1.0	3.0	1.9	2.4	0.7	2.9	3.5	2.4	2.0	1.1	0.2	2.2	11.7
James Hulbin	SR+	NWST	26.3	3.9	11.9	1.4	4.7	2.4	3.9	2.2	4.6	6.9	0.6	1.4	0.9	0.8	2.2	11.7
Darius Richardson	SO+	TXST	25.6	3.9	10.9	2.2	7.1	0.9	1.0	1.1	2.8	3.9	1.3	1.4	0.5	0.2	1.6	11.2
Jarvis Garner	SR	CARK	27.2	4.3	11.0	1.1	3.3	1.4	2.4	2.3	4.7	7.0	1.2	2.4	0.8	0.7	3.1	11.1
Jeremie Mitchell	SR	MCNE	31.4	3.7	10.7	2.0	6.4	0.9	1.5	0.6	1.7	2.4	1.6	1.8	1.3	0.1	1.8	10.6
Johnathan Jordan	SO	TAMCC	35.0	3.6	8.6	0.2	1.1	2.9	4.2	1.8	3.2	5.0	4.6	2.6	1.2	0.3	3.4	10.0
Shawn Glover	JR+	ORU	27.0	3.7	9.0	1.5	4.1	0.8	1.0	1.4	3.0	4.4	0.8	0.8	0.5	0.9	2.0	9.8
Wesley Davis	SO	TXST	28.0	3.1	8.3	0.8	2.7	2.7	3.9	1.4	2.4	3.8	1.8	1.7	2.4	0.4	2.2	9.5
Jordan Harks	JR+	CARK	26.8	3.5	9.1	0.0	0.1	2.5	4.0	3.6	3.7	7.3	1.0	2.0	1.1	0.3	4.1	9.4
Hameed Ali	SO	TAMCC	27.1	3.4	10.9	1.3	4.0	0.9	1.3	0.5	2.3	2.8	2.0	2.0	1.1	0.3	2.4	9.2
Kevin Hardy	SO	MCNE	31.5	3.5	8.1	0.4	1.0	1.6	3.1	2.8	2.2	5.0	2.2	1.5	2.0	0.7	3.9	9.1
Darius Gatson	SR	SHSU	33.1	2.9	8.3	1.3	3.7	1.5	2.2	0.3	2.9	3.1	3.9	2.4	1.0	0.1	2.2	8.6
Vonn Jones	SR	TXST	28.2	2.7	7.4	0.9	3.0	2.4	3.2	0.9	1.6	2.4	3.4	2.2	2.0	0.1	2.2	8.6
Gary Stewart	JR	NWST	26.5	2.9	8.6	1.0	4.0	1.7	2.5	2.0	2.6	4.6	1.6	2.1	0.9	0.7	2.1	8.5
Jeremy McKay	JR	SHSU	28.0	2.9	6.7	1.2	2.9	1.5	2.1	0.7	2.4	3.1	2.7	2.5	1.0	0.1	2.6	8.5
Roosevelt Johnson	SR	SELA	22.7	3.1	7.6	0.0	0.2	2.1	3.4	2.6	5.0	7.6	0.8	2.6	0.9	1.0	2.9	8.1
Damen Bell-Holter	SR	ORU	23.2	3.1	7.8	0.3	0.9	1.6	2.3	2.5	4.0	6.5	1.0	1.9	0.3	1.2	1.7	7.9
Desharick Guidry	SO	MCNE	25.1	3.0	7.4	0.2	0.6	1.6	2.6	2.9	4.1	7.1	0.7	1.3	1.0	0.4	2.8	7.7
William Nelson	JR	TAMCC	24.5	2.8	8.2	0.8	3.0	1.3	2.0	1.5	2.6	4.0	1.3	1.8	0.7	0.3	2.2	7.7
Joy Williamson	JR	TAMCC	24.5	2.8	8.2	0.8	3.0	1.3	2.0	1.5	2.6	4.0	1.3	1.8	0.7	0.3	2.2	7.7
Desmond Haymon	JR	SFA	29.7	2.7	6.7	1.0	3.3	1.2	1.7	1.6	2.3	3.9	1.3	1.3	0.7	0.0	1.8	7.6
Hondo Webb	SO	LAMAR	23.5	2.6	8.0	0.8	3.0	1.3	1.9	1.4	2.4	3.8	1.3	1.9	0.8	0.3	2.5	7.3
Gary Roberson	SR	NWST	24.0	2.6	7.8	0.9	2.9	1.0	1.5	2.4	2.9	5.3	0.9	1.6	0.9	0.3	2.6	7.2
Reid Koenen	JR	TXST	20.3	2.2	5.5	0.8	2.2	1.8	2.1	1.3	2.1	3.4	0.9	1.5	0.4	0.3	2.9	7.0
Amos Wilson	JR	LAMAR	22.1	2.5	7.9	0.7	2.9	1.2	1.9	1.2	2.3	3.6	1.3	1.8	0.7	0.3	2.2	6.9
Keilan Blanks	FR	LAMAR	19.2	2.3	6.7	0.8	2.8	1.3	1.7	0.6	1.4	2.0	2.1	2.0	0.9	0.1	1.8	6.8
Donnell Minton	FR	LAMAR	19.2	2.3	6.7	0.8	2.8	1.3	1.7	0.6	1.4	2.0	2.1	2.0	0.9	0.1	1.8	6.8
Onochie Ochie	SO+	SELA	18.2	2.6	6.4	0.7	2.3	0.6	1.3	1.6	1.6	3.3	0.4	1.0	0.3	1.2	3.5	6.7
Jeremy Campbell	JR	SELA	28.0	2.4	7.1	0.3	1.2	1.7	2.7	1.0	2.4	3.4	1.3	1.8	0.6	0.4	1.9	6.7
Nate Maxey	SO	TAMCC	22.1	2.8	5.5	0.0	0.1	1.0	2.2	2.3	3.1	5.4	0.3	1.3	0.5	2.9	3.4	6.5
Hal Bateman	SR	SFA	25.4	2.3	5.3	0.2	0.5	1.6	2.5	0.2	1.8	2.0	3.1	2.1	1.2	0.1	3.1	6.3
Pedro Maciel	JR+	NICH	25.0	2.0	5.1	1.0	2.7	1.2	1.5	0.1	1.8	2.0	2.5	2.1	0.7	0.1	2.4	6.3
Todd Nelson	SR	SELA	20.8	2.0	5.8	1.3	4.4	0.9	1.4	0.3	1.1	1.3	1.0	1.2	0.5	0.0	1.2	6.3
Joel Wright	JR	TXST	17.6	2.0	5.3	0.0	0.1	2.5	3.8	3.0	2.5	5.5	0.7	1.6	0.7	0.7	2.4	6.3
Kennon Dvorak	JR+	TAMCC	26.8	1.8	6.4	1.4	4.8	1.0	2.3	0.9	2.2	3.1	1.7	0.8	0.7	0.1	1.4	6.2
Shane Rillieux	SO	NICH	29.1	1.8	4.9	0.4	1.5	2.2	3.0	0.7	2.0	2.7	2.2	2.4	0.8	0.0	2.5	6.2
Erik Williams	JR+	SHSU	19.6	2.6	6.6	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.9	3.0	2.9	6.0	0.3	1.1	0.6	0.1	1.6	5.9
Tramel White	JR	ORU	21.6	2.0	5.2	0.8	2.2	1.2	1.7	0.5	1.7	2.3	2.3	1.9	0.7	0.1	2.1	5.9
Jeffery Ricard	JR	SELA	26.7	1.8	5.1	0.7	2.2	1.4	1.9	0.7	2.1	2.8	2.8	2.3	0.8	0.1	2.4	5.8
Sam McBeath	SO	NICH	21.2	1.9	5.1	1.0	3.0	0.9	1.2	1.3	2.6	3.8	1.1	1.7	0.5	0.7	2.5	5.7
Osas Ebomwonyi	JR+	LAMAR	26.6	2.5	5.5	0.0	0.0	0.6	2.7	5.0	4.8	9.8	0.2	1.0	1.1	4.9	3.1	5.7
DeShone McClure	JR	CARK	22.2	1.9	6.1	0.6	2.4	1.2	1.8	1.1	1.8	2.9	1.4	1.8	0.7	0.3	2.2	5.5
Stanford Brown	SR+	LAMAR	16.9	2.1	5.1	0.0	0.1	1.5	2.2	1.9	3.0	4.9	0.3	1.0	0.3	0.9	1.6	5.5
Aaron Harwell	JR	SHSU	25.2	2.0	5.2	0.5	1.7	0.7	1.3	0.1	2.5	2.6	2.7	1.9	0.9	0.1	2.3	5.1
Tyler Washington	JR	NWST	21.3	1.7	4.7	0.9	2.7	0.8	1.4	0.1	1.6	1.7	1.5	1.1	1.0	0.2	3.0	5.1
Jeremy Smith	JR+	NICH	17.0	1.8	3.8	0.1	0.3	1.2	1.6	1.2	1.5	2.6	0.8	1.6	0.4	0.2	1.9	4.9
Will Bond	JR	SHSU	16.4	1.8	4.7	0.5	1.7	0.8	1.3	0.8	1.7	2.6	0.8	1.2	0.5	0.2	1.7	4.9
Nathaniel Mason	JR	SHSU	16.4	1.8	4.7	0.5	1.7	0.8	1.3	0.8	1.7	2.6	0.8	1.2	0.5	0.2	1.7	4.9
Donley Minor	SR	LAMAR	23.4	1.8	6.4	0.4	1.9	0.8	1.0	0.9	1.8	2.7	1.6	1.5	1.0	0.1	1.9	4.8
Jared Harrison	JR	SFA	20.0	1.6	3.8	0.7	1.7	0.9	1.3	0.4	1.4	1.8	1.8	1.6	0.6	0.1	1.7	4.8
Deshaunt Walker	JR	SFA	20.0	1.6	3.8	0.7	1.7	0.9	1.3	0.4	1.4	1.8	1.8	1.6	0.6	0.1	1.7	4.8
Adrian Fields	JR	MCNE	17.0	1.4	4.4	0.4	1.4	1.4	1.9	1.1	1.3	2.4	0.4	0.9	0.2	0.1	1.0	4.5
Jake Lliteras	SO+	ORU	18.5	1.5	4.5	1.0	3.2	0.5	0.8	0.4	1.9	2.3	1.1	1.1	0.8	0.4	1.7	4.5
Brian Curran	FR	LAMAR	12.8	1.6	4.7	0.5	1.9	0.8	1.1	0.7	1.3	2.0	0.7	1.0	0.4	0.1	1.3	4.4
Matt Hancock	FR	LAMAR	12.8	1.6	4.7	0.5	1.9	0.8	1.1	0.7	1.3	2.0	0.7	1.0	0.4	0.1	1.3	4.4
Wells Oliver	SO+	CARK	25.0	1.5	4.5	0.2	1.0	1.4	1.9	0.6	1.4	2.0	2.5	1.5	0.9	0.1	2.2	4.4
Ray Dorsey	FR	TXST	14.3	1.4	3.9	0.5	1.6	0.9	1.3	0.4	1.0	1.4	1.7	1.6	0.7	0.1	1.4	4.3
Brison White	JR	NWST	13.5	1.4	4.1	0.4	1.6	0.8	1.1	0.8	1.3	2.1	0.8	1.1	0.5	0.2	1.5	4.0
Austin Lewis	FR	MCNE	14.8	1.5	3.8	0.0	0.3	0.9	1.5	1.7	2.0	3.7	0.4	1.0	0.3	0.7	2.0	3.9
Jordan Wells	FR	MCNE	14.8	1.5	3.8	0.0	0.3	0.9	1.5	1.7	2.0	3.7	0.4	1.0	0.3	0.7	2.0	3.9
Patrick Robinson	JR	NWST	19.3	1.2	3.5	0.3	1.4	0.9	1.6	1.9	1.6	3.5	1.2	1.4	0.8	0.5	2.5	3.5
Brandon Conley	FR	ORU	12.1	1.2	3.6	0.4	1.4	0.7	0.9	0.6	1.1	1.7	0.7	0.9	0.3	0.1	1.3	3.5
Jordan Pope-Didier	SO	TAMCC	18.3	1.6	4.5	0.0	0.4	0.1	0.6	1.6	1.9	3.5	0.3	1.1	0.5	0.3	3.5	3.4
Shaun Johnson	FR+	MCNE	12.9	1.1	3.2	0.4	1.4	0.7	1.0	0.3	0.8	1.1	1.4	1.3	0.5	0.1	1.3	3.2
DeQuan Hicks	JR	NWST	11.7	1.2	3.4	0.0	0.3	0.7	1.4	1.5	1.6	3.2	0.3	0.9	0.3	0.6	1.6	3.1
Mikey Manghum	JR+	ORU	16.7	0.9	2.4	0.6	1.8	0.6	0.7	0.5	0.6	1.0	1.3	0.6	0.3	0.0	1.4	3.0
DJ Muepo	FR	LAMAR	8.9	1.2	3.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.0	1.2	1.4	2.5	0.2	0.7	0.2	0.4	1.2	3.0
Ledrick Eackles	JR+	MCNE	9.7	1.0	3.6	0.2	1.1	0.8	1.2	0.6	1.2	1.8	0.7	0.6	0.4	0.1	1.1	2.9
Lenell Brown	SO	CARK	21.0	1.2	2.9	0.1	0.5	0.3	0.3	1.0	1.6	2.6	0.8	1.1	0.6	0.1	1.3	2.8
Phil Hawkins	JR	TXST	10.4	0.9	2.9	0.3	1.1	0.5	0.9	0.6	1.0	1.6	0.7	0.9	0.4	0.1	1.1	2.7
Deonte' Jones	JR	TXST	10.4	0.9	2.9	0.3	1.1	0.5	0.9	0.6	1.0	1.6	0.7	0.9	0.4	0.1	1.1	2.7
Dominique Vallejo	FR	NICH	11.3	0.9	2.3	0.3	0.9	0.5	0.7	0.2	0.7	0.9	1.1	1.0	0.5	0.1	1.0	2.6
Jacob Parker	SO	SFA	14.2	0.9	2.9	0.2	0.9	0.6	0.6	0.7	1.4	2.1	1.0	0.8	0.3	0.2	1.3	2.5
Lachlan Prest	SO	NICH	13.9	0.8	2.2	0.4	1.3	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.9	1.2	0.8	0.9	0.2	0.1	1.0	2.4
Rhon Mitchell	FR+	LAMAR	7.3	0.8	2.6	0.3	1.0	0.4	0.6	0.4	0.7	1.1	0.4	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.8	2.4
Dre Evans	JR	SELA	14.3	0.7	1.7	0.6	1.5	0.4	0.5	0.3	1.3	1.6	0.3	0.5	0.1	0.1	1.3	2.4
Marquel McKinney	SO	SHSU	13.4	0.7	2.3	0.4	1.3	0.5	0.7	0.8	1.0	1.7	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.1	1.1	2.3
Danilo Toskovic	SO	SFA	9.6	0.8	2.1	0.2	0.8	0.4	0.6	0.4	0.8	1.2	0.4	0.6	0.3	0.1	1.0	2.2
Terrance Motley	JR	SHSU	7.1	0.8	2.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.8	0.8	1.1	1.8	0.1	0.5	0.2	0.3	1.0	2.1
James Thomas	JR	SHSU	7.1	0.8	2.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.8	0.8	1.1	1.8	0.1	0.5	0.2	0.3	1.0	2.1
Antonnio Benton	JR	SELA	10.2	0.7	2.4	0.2	0.9	0.5	0.8	0.9	1.4	2.4	0.3	0.6	0.2	0.4	1.0	2.0
Korey Billbury	FR+	ORU	7.4	0.7	1.9	0.2	0.8	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.8	0.7	0.3	0.0	0.8	2.0
DJ Jackson	FR+	ORU	7.4	0.7	1.9	0.2	0.8	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.8	0.7	0.3	0.0	0.8	2.0
Sterling Bailey	SO+	NICH	8.0	0.7	1.6	0.4	1.1	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.7	1.1	0.3	0.5	0.0	0.2	0.9	2.0
Ted Wang	JR	TAMCC	13.7	0.8	2.6	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.9	0.7	1.4	2.1	0.2	0.7	0.0	0.8	1.6	2.0
Craig McFerrin	SO	MCNE	6.5	0.8	1.5	0.0	0.0	0.4	0.9	0.7	1.0	1.6	0.1	0.4	0.1	0.2	0.8	1.9
Marvin Fraizer	SO	NWST	9.3	0.7	3.3	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.9	1.1	0.8	2.0	0.4	0.6	0.4	0.7	1.1	1.9
Anthony Borden	SR	CARK	10.2	0.8	2.3	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.9	1.0	1.9	0.2	1.1	0.2	1.0	2.0	1.7
Nikola Gajic	JR	SFA	7.4	0.6	1.7	0.2	0.6	0.3	0.5	0.3	0.6	0.9	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.7	1.7
Jan Petrovcic	SR	SELA	12.1	0.6	1.9	0.0	0.3	0.2	0.7	2.0	1.6	3.7	0.5	0.9	0.5	0.4	1.7	1.5
Paxson Guest	FR+	NWST	4.7	0.4	1.4	0.1	0.5	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.4	0.7	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.5	1.3
OJ Evans	SR	NWST	7.1	0.5	1.3	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.9	1.5	0.3	0.5	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.2
Basil Brown	SO+	TXST	3.8	0.3	0.9	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.7	0.3	0.4	0.6	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.3	1.2
Quin Cooper	JR	SELA	6.2	0.3	1.7	0.2	0.9	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.7	1.1
Nikko Acosta	SR	LAMAR	5.6	0.4	1.1	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.5	1.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.6	0.8	1.0
Zane Knowles	JR	TAMCC	3.5	0.4	0.9	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.1	0.8	0.8
Jalan West	FR+	NWST	2.9	0.3	0.8	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.3	0.8
Jamaal James	JR	SELA	3.4	0.3	0.7	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.7
Gordon Ball	SR	TXST	2.5	0.3	0.8	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.9	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.6	0.7
Michael Holyfield	SO	SHSU	2.5	0.3	0.6	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.7	0.0	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.7
Drew Caillouet	FR	NICH	2.2	0.2	0.5	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.2	0.5
TJ Carpenter	FR	NICH	2.2	0.2	0.5	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.2	0.5
Piers Carroll	FR	NICH	2.2	0.2	0.5	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.2	0.5
Ja'Dante' Frye	FR	NICH	2.2	0.2	0.5	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.2	0.5
Dante Bachus	SO	TXST	2.4	0.2	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4
Joe Bright	SR	SFA	3.3	0.1	0.4	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.5	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.4