2018-2019 Team Projections
Team projections are built on the lineups you see below. If you see a player listed who shouldn't be there, or if there's a player missing who should be included, please let me know.
TAPE Ratings show how a team would perform on a neutral site against an average BCS conference team.
| RANK | TEAM | CONF. | TAPE | OFFENSE | (RANK) | DEFENSE | (RANK) | PACE | (RANK) | At Large | Top 25 | Win Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Michigan State | BigTen | 13.25 | 75.41 | (7) | 68.24 | (18) | 67.96 | (264) | 93% | 72% | 27% |
Player Per-Game Projections
Projected per-game averages, normalized to average D1 opponent.
| Player | Class | Pos | MIN | FGM | FGA | 3GM | 3GA | FTM | FTA | OREB | DREB | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | PF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassius Winston | JR | PG | 28.6 | 3.6 | 8.2 | 2.1 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 8.5 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 11.7 |
| Nick Ward | JR | Big | 26.8 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 3.8 | 5.3 | 3.2 | 5.8 | 9.0 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 13.8 |
| Matt McQuaid | SR | SG | 26.8 | 3.0 | 7.1 | 2.3 | 5.8 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 9.9 |
| Joshua Langford | JR | Wing | 22.0 | 4.9 | 9.2 | 1.6 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 13.3 |
| Xavier Tillman | SO | Big | 18.8 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 4.5 |
| Kyle Ahrens | JR | SF | 16.4 | 3.1 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 9.4 |
| Marcus Bingham Jr | FR | PF | 15.0 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 2.9 | 6.4 |
| Kenny Goins | SR | PF | 12.7 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.6 |
| Braden Burke | SO | SF | 10.9 | 1.9 | 4.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 4.8 |
| Gabe Brown | FR | SF | 7.9 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 2.8 |
| Foster Loyer | FR | PG | 6.4 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.3 |
| Aaron Henry | FR | SF | 5.0 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1.8 |
| Thomas Kithier | FR | PF | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| Michigan State TEAM | 200.0 | 28.2 | 58.9 | 9.1 | 22.2 | 12.1 | 17.1 | 11.9 | 29.6 | 41.5 | 17.3 | 13.3 | 5.3 | 5.8 | 16.8 | 77.7 | ||
| Michigan State OPPONENTS | 200.0 | 25.4 | 62.3 | 7.1 | 20.9 | 12.3 | 17.3 | 12.4 | 23.6 | 36.0 | 13.3 | 10.2 | 5.6 | 3.6 | 16.7 | 70.3 | ||