2014-2015 Team Projections
Team projections are built on the lineups you see below. If you see a player listed who shouldn't be there, or if there's a player missing who should be included, please let me know.
TAPE Ratings show how a team would perform on a neutral site against an average BCS conference team.
| RANK | TEAM | CONF. | TAPE | OFFENSE | (RANK) | DEFENSE | (RANK) | PACE | (RANK) | At Large | Top 25 | Win Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Michigan State | BigTen | 12.15 | 73.20 | (5) | 65.35 | (12) | 64.65 | (228) | 83% | 59% | 16% |
Player Per-Game Projections
Projected per-game averages, normalized to average D1 opponent.
| Player | Class | Pos | MIN | FGM | FGA | 3GM | 3GA | FTM | FTA | OREB | DREB | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | PF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Branden Dawson | SR | PF | 33.2 | 7.1 | 11.7 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 6.8 | 10.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 17.0 |
| Denzel Valentine | JR | Wing | 30.5 | 4.1 | 9.7 | 1.7 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 5.2 | 6.7 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 11.7 |
| Travis Trice | SR | PG | 30.3 | 4.8 | 9.8 | 2.7 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 14.4 |
| Matt Costello | JR | Big | 22.2 | 2.8 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 7.5 |
| Lourawls Nairn Jr | FR | PG | 20.9 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 5.4 |
| Alvin Ellis III | SO | SG | 18.6 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 6.2 |
| Marvin Clark Jr | FR | SF | 16.4 | 1.6 | 4.2 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 4.2 |
| Javon Bess | FR | SF | 16.4 | 1.6 | 4.2 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 4.2 |
| Gavin Schilling | SO | PF | 9.8 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 2.8 |
| Michigan State TEAM | 200.0 | 26.2 | 59.0 | 8.4 | 21.0 | 11.0 | 16.3 | 13.1 | 24.4 | 37.6 | 13.8 | 12.0 | 7.1 | 4.7 | 19.1 | 71.7 | ||
| Michigan State OPPONENTS | 200.0 | 21.3 | 53.2 | 6.1 | 18.4 | 15.3 | 22.0 | 11.4 | 22.7 | 34.0 | 10.7 | 12.6 | 6.6 | 3.2 | 16.3 | 64.0 | ||