2013-2014 Team Projections
Team projections are built on the lineups you see below. If you see a player listed who shouldn't be there, or if there's a player missing who should be included, please let me know.
TAPE Ratings show how a team would perform on a neutral site against an average BCS conference team.
| RANK | TEAM | CONF. | TAPE | OFFENSE | (RANK) | DEFENSE | (RANK) | PACE | (RANK) | At Large | Top 25 | Win Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Louisville | AmCon | 12.44 | 71.77 | (12) | 64.42 | (5) | 67.14 | (81) | 92% | 73% | 54% |
Player Per-Game Projections
Projected per-game averages, normalized to average D1 opponent.
| Player | Class | Pos | MIN | FGM | FGA | 3GM | 3GA | FTM | FTA | OREB | DREB | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | PF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier | FR | PG | 31.4 | 3.4 | 7.9 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 9.7 |
| Russ Smith | SR | Combo | 30.6 | 6.4 | 13.4 | 1.7 | 4.5 | 5.9 | 7.2 | 1.3 | 3.1 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 20.5 |
| Chris Jones | JR | PG | 26.0 | 3.0 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 8.5 |
| Luke Hancock | SR+ | SG | 23.7 | 2.6 | 5.8 | 1.6 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 8.6 |
| Wayne Blackshear | JR | SF | 21.5 | 3.2 | 7.1 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 9.3 |
| Montrezl Harrell | SO | Big | 19.2 | 3.0 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 5.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 7.2 |
| Stephan Van Treese | SR+ | Big | 15.7 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 5.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| Anton Gill | FR | SG | 12.5 | 1.4 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.1 |
| Kevin Ware | JR | SG | 7.7 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.3 |
| Akoy Agau | FR | Big | 4.9 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.5 |
| Tim Henderson | SR | SG | 2.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Mangok Mathiang | FR+ | PF | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Chane Behanan | JR | PF | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 |
| Louisville TEAM | 200.0 | 24.8 | 57.0 | 7.8 | 22.1 | 15.2 | 20.9 | 11.7 | 22.3 | 34.1 | 13.5 | 12.7 | 9.5 | 3.3 | 18.0 | 73.0 | ||
| Louisville OPPONENTS | 200.0 | 22.9 | 53.9 | 5.9 | 17.7 | 13.8 | 19.8 | 12.2 | 23.8 | 36.0 | 11.2 | 16.4 | 7.9 | 3.0 | 18.6 | 65.5 | ||