2016-2017 Team Projections
Team projections are built on the lineups you see below. If you see a player listed who shouldn't be there, or if there's a player missing who should be included, please let me know.
TAPE Ratings show how a team would perform on a neutral site against an average BCS conference team.
| RANK | TEAM | CONF. | TAPE | OFFENSE | (RANK) | DEFENSE | (RANK) | PACE | (RANK) | At Large | Top 25 | Win Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Michigan State | BigTen | 12.21 | 74.81 | (13) | 68.31 | (17) | 66.99 | (253) | 97% | 73% | 26% |
Player Per-Game Projections
Projected per-game averages, normalized to average D1 opponent.
| Player | Class | Pos | MIN | FGM | FGA | 3GM | 3GA | FTM | FTA | OREB | DREB | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | PF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eron Harris | SR+ | SG | 26.3 | 5.1 | 10.1 | 2.1 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 3.1 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 15.1 |
| Gavin Schilling | SR | PF | 23.5 | 4.2 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 6.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 10.9 |
| Matt McQuaid | SO | Combo | 22.0 | 2.9 | 6.1 | 1.6 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 8.4 |
| Joshua Langford | FR | SG | 21.0 | 3.6 | 7.2 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 10.0 |
| Nick Ward | FR | PF | 19.4 | 2.7 | 5.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 5.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 6.9 |
| Ben Carter | SR++ | PF | 18.2 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 5.6 |
| Miles Bridges | FR | SF | 16.2 | 2.7 | 5.4 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 7.3 |
| Cassius Winston | FR | PG | 15.0 | 2.1 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 5.8 |
| Lourawls Nairn Jr | JR | PG | 13.6 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.0 |
| Alvin Ellis III | SR | SG | 11.9 | 1.5 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 4.5 |
| Kenny Goins | SO+ | PF | 10.1 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.1 |
| Kyle Ahrens | SO | SF | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Michigan State TEAM | 200.0 | 27.8 | 58.8 | 7.7 | 18.2 | 12.6 | 17.4 | 12.0 | 27.7 | 39.6 | 17.8 | 12.8 | 7.0 | 4.3 | 17.9 | 75.9 | ||
| Michigan State OPPONENTS | 200.0 | 24.6 | 59.5 | 6.3 | 19.1 | 13.9 | 19.5 | 12.9 | 23.8 | 36.8 | 11.9 | 11.7 | 6.5 | 3.7 | 16.9 | 69.3 | ||