2016-2017 Team Projections
Team projections are built on the lineups you see below. If you see a player listed who shouldn't be there, or if there's a player missing who should be included, please let me know.
TAPE Ratings show how a team would perform on a neutral site against an average BCS conference team.
| RANK | TEAM | CONF. | TAPE | OFFENSE | (RANK) | DEFENSE | (RANK) | PACE | (RANK) | At Large | Top 25 | Win Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Louisville | ACC | 13.05 | 72.17 | (34) | 64.04 | (1) | 68.44 | (162) | 99% | 87% | 46% |
Player Per-Game Projections
Projected per-game averages, normalized to average D1 opponent.
| Player | Class | Pos | MIN | FGM | FGA | 3GM | 3GA | FTM | FTA | OREB | DREB | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | PF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Hicks | SR+ | Combo | 25.0 | 4.7 | 11.0 | 1.6 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 14.4 |
| Quentin Snider | JR | PG | 24.8 | 3.2 | 7.3 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 9.5 |
| Anas Mahmoud | JR | Big | 24.3 | 3.3 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 4.0 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 8.5 |
| Mangok Mathiang | SR | Big | 21.9 | 3.1 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 3.5 | 6.1 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 8.1 |
| Raymond Spalding | SO | PF | 20.4 | 3.0 | 5.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 5.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 8.0 |
| Donovan Mitchell | SO | Wing | 19.1 | 2.7 | 6.0 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 7.9 |
| Matz Stockman | JR | Big | 17.0 | 2.8 | 4.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 7.1 |
| Jaylen Johnson | JR | PF | 14.7 | 1.8 | 3.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 4.5 |
| Deng Adel | SO | SF | 12.7 | 1.5 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 4.5 |
| VJ King | FR | SF | 11.0 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 4.1 |
| David Levitch | SR | Combo | 7.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Ryan McMahon | FR++ | SG | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Louisville TEAM | 200.0 | 27.6 | 59.8 | 4.9 | 14.8 | 14.7 | 21.9 | 15.6 | 26.8 | 42.4 | 13.0 | 14.2 | 8.9 | 5.8 | 18.9 | 74.8 | ||
| Louisville OPPONENTS | 200.0 | 22.4 | 55.3 | 6.4 | 19.4 | 15.3 | 21.5 | 11.9 | 23.8 | 35.7 | 11.8 | 15.1 | 8.1 | 3.3 | 19.1 | 66.4 | ||