2016-2017 Team Projections
Team projections are built on the lineups you see below. If you see a player listed who shouldn't be there, or if there's a player missing who should be included, please let me know.
TAPE Ratings show how a team would perform on a neutral site against an average BCS conference team.
| RANK | TEAM | CONF. | TAPE | OFFENSE | (RANK) | DEFENSE | (RANK) | PACE | (RANK) | At Large | Top 25 | Win Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | Fresno State | MWC | 5.95 | 66.01 | (152) | 72.00 | (79) | 68.97 | (116) | 3% | 0% | 22% |
Player Per-Game Projections
Projected per-game averages, normalized to average D1 opponent.
| Player | Class | Pos | MIN | FGM | FGA | 3GM | 3GA | FTM | FTA | OREB | DREB | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | PF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cullen Russo | SR | SF | 24.5 | 3.2 | 7.3 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 4.1 | 5.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 2.6 | 9.3 |
| Jaron Hopkins | JR+ | Wing | 23.5 | 3.1 | 7.2 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 8.3 |
| Jahmel Taylor | SR | SG | 23.1 | 2.9 | 7.9 | 2.1 | 6.5 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 9.3 |
| Karachi Edo | SR | Big | 21.7 | 3.6 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 6.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 9.1 |
| Paul Watson | SR | SF | 19.5 | 2.7 | 6.6 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 7.4 |
| Deshon Taylor | SO+ | Combo | 17.5 | 2.3 | 6.1 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 7.2 |
| Terrell Carter II | JR | PF | 15.3 | 2.4 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 5.8 |
| William McDowell-White | FR | PG | 13.1 | 1.6 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 4.6 |
| Lazaro Rojas | FR | C | 10.9 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3.2 |
| Nate Grimes | FR++ | PF | 9.1 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 2.7 |
| Bryson Williams | FR | PF | 7.6 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 2.2 |
| Sam Bittner | SO | SG | 6.2 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.4 |
| Johnny McWilliams | FR | SG | 4.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 |
| Darryl McDowell-White | FR | PG | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Ountae Campbell | FR | PG | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Fresno State TEAM | 200.0 | 25.4 | 63.3 | 6.0 | 19.8 | 12.1 | 18.2 | 14.6 | 25.8 | 40.5 | 10.4 | 12.1 | 7.6 | 4.3 | 20.2 | 69.0 | ||
| Fresno State OPPONENTS | 200.0 | 25.4 | 57.1 | 7.2 | 20.5 | 17.2 | 24.2 | 12.2 | 29.7 | 41.9 | 13.7 | 12.9 | 7.0 | 4.1 | 17.3 | 75.2 | ||