2016-2017 Team Projections
Team projections are built on the lineups you see below. If you see a player listed who shouldn't be there, or if there's a player missing who should be included, please let me know.
TAPE Ratings show how a team would perform on a neutral site against an average BCS conference team.
| RANK | TEAM | CONF. | TAPE | OFFENSE | (RANK) | DEFENSE | (RANK) | PACE | (RANK) | At Large | Top 25 | Win Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Duke | ACC | 14.06 | 79.26 | (1) | 68.52 | (20) | 68.49 | (156) | 100% | 96% | 78% |
Player Per-Game Projections
Projected per-game averages, normalized to average D1 opponent.
| Player | Class | Pos | MIN | FGM | FGA | 3GM | 3GA | FTM | FTA | OREB | DREB | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | PF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Allen | JR | Combo | 30.4 | 5.7 | 11.5 | 2.2 | 5.0 | 5.3 | 6.3 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 19.1 |
| Matt Jones | SR | Combo | 28.9 | 3.6 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 10.6 |
| Amile Jefferson | SR+ | PF | 28.5 | 4.0 | 6.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 6.0 | 9.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 10.5 |
| Luke Kennard | SO | Wing | 25.1 | 4.0 | 8.2 | 1.6 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 12.3 |
| Javin DeLaurier | FR | PF | 19.2 | 2.5 | 4.9 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 7.1 |
| Frank Jackson | FR | PG | 16.8 | 2.3 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 7.1 |
| Harry Giles | FR | PF | 15.0 | 2.3 | 4.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 6.5 |
| Chase Jeter | SO | PF | 12.5 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 3.6 |
| Jayson Tatum | FR | SF | 10.6 | 1.6 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 4.7 |
| Marques Bolden | FR | C | 7.7 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 3.1 |
| Jack White | FR | SF | 3.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Justin Robinson | FR++ | SF | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Duke TEAM | 200.0 | 28.4 | 59.3 | 8.0 | 19.9 | 17.6 | 23.6 | 12.7 | 27.1 | 39.7 | 13.3 | 10.9 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 16.3 | 82.3 | ||
| Duke OPPONENTS | 200.0 | 27.0 | 61.2 | 5.6 | 17.2 | 11.5 | 16.1 | 12.0 | 24.0 | 35.9 | 13.1 | 12.4 | 6.8 | 3.8 | 19.9 | 71.1 | ||