2015-2016 Team Projections
Team projections are built on the lineups you see below. If you see a player listed who shouldn't be there, or if there's a player missing who should be included, please let me know.
TAPE Ratings show how a team would perform on a neutral site against an average BCS conference team.
| RANK | TEAM | CONF. | TAPE | OFFENSE | (RANK) | DEFENSE | (RANK) | PACE | (RANK) | At Large | Top 25 | Win Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Michigan State | BigTen | 10.39 | 70.01 | (39) | 67.36 | (40) | 64.12 | (234) | 59% | 28% | 5% |
Player Per-Game Projections
Projected per-game averages, normalized to average D1 opponent.
| Player | Class | Pos | MIN | FGM | FGA | 3GM | 3GA | FTM | FTA | OREB | DREB | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | PF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denzel Valentine | JR | SG | 30.2 | 4.8 | 11.2 | 2.5 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 5.3 | 6.6 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 14.5 |
| Bryn Forbes | JR | Combo | 25.0 | 3.1 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 9.7 |
| Eron Harris | SO+ | Wing | 23.6 | 4.8 | 9.6 | 2.1 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 14.4 |
| Matt Costello | JR | Big | 22.0 | 3.0 | 5.8 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 4.0 | 6.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 8.2 |
| Lourawls Nairn Jr | FR | Combo | 18.6 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 3.1 |
| Gavin Schilling | SO | Big | 16.1 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 5.4 |
| Deyonta Davis | FR | PF | 14.6 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 3.8 |
| Alvin Ellis III | SO | SG | 12.9 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 3.2 |
| Marvin Clark Jr | FR | PF | 11.1 | 1.6 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 4.8 |
| Kyle Ahrens | FR | SG | 9.8 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.9 |
| Wollenman Colby | JR | PF | 6.9 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Matt McQuaid | FR | SG | 5.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Javon Bess | FR | PF | 3.7 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| Michigan State TEAM | 200.0 | 23.9 | 55.1 | 8.6 | 21.8 | 12.0 | 17.2 | 10.5 | 25.5 | 36.0 | 12.3 | 11.4 | 5.7 | 3.1 | 18.7 | 68.0 | ||
| Michigan State OPPONENTS | 200.0 | 23.5 | 55.7 | 6.2 | 18.8 | 14.7 | 21.0 | 12.9 | 25.6 | 38.4 | 11.1 | 11.2 | 6.0 | 2.6 | 16.8 | 65.4 | ||