2015-2016 Team Projections
Team projections are built on the lineups you see below. If you see a player listed who shouldn't be there, or if there's a player missing who should be included, please let me know.
TAPE Ratings show how a team would perform on a neutral site against an average BCS conference team.
| RANK | TEAM | CONF. | TAPE | OFFENSE | (RANK) | DEFENSE | (RANK) | PACE | (RANK) | At Large | Top 25 | Win Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96 | Fresno State | MWC | 7.45 | 68.24 | (74) | 70.68 | (111) | 64.47 | (218) | 12% | 3% | 6% |
Player Per-Game Projections
Projected per-game averages, normalized to average D1 opponent.
| Player | Class | Pos | MIN | FGM | FGA | 3GM | 3GA | FTM | FTA | OREB | DREB | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | PF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvelle Harris | JR | Combo | 30.0 | 4.6 | 9.9 | 1.5 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 15.2 |
| Paul Watson | SO | SF | 23.7 | 2.7 | 6.3 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 8.2 |
| Julien Lewis | JR | Wing | 23.3 | 3.8 | 8.1 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 10.3 |
| Karachi Edo | SO | Big | 21.1 | 2.6 | 4.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 3.9 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 7.3 |
| Lionel Ellison III | JR | PG | 20.0 | 1.5 | 4.4 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 4.7 |
| Cezar Guerrero | JR | PG | 18.0 | 2.4 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 8.0 |
| Cullen Russo | JR | PF | 16.4 | 1.6 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 4.2 |
| Torren Jones | FR+ | PF | 14.8 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 4.3 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 4.3 |
| Ountae Campbell | FR | SG | 13.0 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| Nate Grimes | FR | PF | 11.8 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 2.9 |
| Terrell Carter II | FR | PF | 7.9 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| Fresno State TEAM | 200.0 | 23.6 | 52.7 | 4.4 | 13.9 | 16.0 | 22.4 | 11.9 | 23.6 | 35.5 | 10.3 | 12.9 | 7.5 | 3.7 | 19.5 | 66.7 | ||
| Fresno State OPPONENTS | 200.0 | 23.8 | 52.0 | 6.5 | 17.7 | 16.0 | 22.8 | 10.6 | 23.1 | 33.7 | 11.9 | 12.2 | 6.5 | 3.9 | 19.3 | 69.0 | ||