2015-2016 Team Projections
Team projections are built on the lineups you see below. If you see a player listed who shouldn't be there, or if there's a player missing who should be included, please let me know.
TAPE Ratings show how a team would perform on a neutral site against an average BCS conference team.
| RANK | TEAM | CONF. | TAPE | OFFENSE | (RANK) | DEFENSE | (RANK) | PACE | (RANK) | At Large | Top 25 | Win Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Duke | ACC | 13.37 | 73.30 | (7) | 64.16 | (5) | 66.14 | (110) | 94% | 81% | 28% |
Player Per-Game Projections
Projected per-game averages, normalized to average D1 opponent.
| Player | Class | Pos | MIN | FGM | FGA | 3GM | 3GA | FTM | FTA | OREB | DREB | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | PF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amile Jefferson | JR | PF | 25.0 | 3.4 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 7.0 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 9.4 |
| Matt Jones | SO | SG | 24.8 | 3.2 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 9.2 |
| Sean Obi | FR+ | Big | 23.0 | 4.2 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 3.7 | 2.2 | 6.0 | 8.2 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 10.3 |
| Brandon Ingram | FR | SF | 22.3 | 3.3 | 7.9 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 9.9 |
| Luke Kennard | FR | SG | 19.6 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 7.6 |
| Chase Jeter | FR | Big | 18.7 | 2.6 | 5.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 5.3 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 7.2 |
| Derryck Thornton | FR | PG | 17.9 | 2.1 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 6.6 |
| Marshall Plumlee | JR | Big | 16.3 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 4.6 |
| Grayson Allen | FR | Wing | 15.6 | 2.6 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 9.0 |
| Justin Robinson | FR | SF | 10.5 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.8 |
| Antonio Vrankovic | FR | Big | 6.3 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Duke TEAM | 200.0 | 28.1 | 58.8 | 5.1 | 15.7 | 14.8 | 21.8 | 15.3 | 26.5 | 41.8 | 12.0 | 12.2 | 6.8 | 4.5 | 17.0 | 73.5 | ||
| Duke OPPONENTS | 200.0 | 23.9 | 56.5 | 5.4 | 16.6 | 12.4 | 17.7 | 11.2 | 22.5 | 33.7 | 10.3 | 12.6 | 6.8 | 3.4 | 19.0 | 64.3 | ||